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Why Iran Thinks It Can Win a Standoff With the U.S.

Experts say Iran is using risky moves to gain power, but critics warn this strategy might backfire as the country overestimates its own strength.


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A split-screen image showing the flags of Iran and the United States side-by-side with a backdrop of a map of the Middle East.

By John Doe
Reporting from Iran
Sept. 12, 2026, 9:54 p.m. - 6 hours ago

Iran is taking a very risky path in its ongoing struggle with the United States. Recent reports suggest that Tehran believes it can gain the upper hand by being aggressive. They seem to think that by constantly raising the stakes and causing trouble, they can force the U.S. to back down or offer them better terms in negotiations.

Some analysts say this strategy is actually working for them right now. By causing enough chaos, they create leverage—which is just a fancy way of saying they get more power to demand what they want. They believe they can simply wait out the U.S. and stay in the fight longer than Washington can.

However, not everyone agrees that this is a smart move. Some experts point out that Iran’s leverage will eventually run out. They argue that as the tension keeps rising, the risks for Iran become much higher. If they push too hard, they might lose more than they gain.

There is also a strong argument coming from some observers that Iran is making a big mistake because they are too confident. They believe Iran is suffering from an 'inflated sense of power.' This means they think they are much stronger than they really are. If they continue to overestimate their own influence, they could end up facing serious consequences that they aren't prepared for.

In short, the situation is a high-stakes game of chicken. Iran is betting that it can bully its way to a better position, but many analysts warn that this approach is fragile and could eventually lead to a collapse of their current strategy.

Source: The New York Times



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